End User
PPC
Description
The PV Production Forecasting service delivers short-term and day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasts for PPC's portfolio of PV generation sites. Using 15-minute multi-sensor site telemetry — including inverter measurements, irradiance, soiling sensors, and solar geometry features — the service provides uncertainty-quantified production estimates at site and inverter level, supporting imbalance management, grid constraint anticipation, and operational planning.
Core Capabilities
Predictive & Prescriptive Analytics
Business Need
PPC needs accurate PV generation forecasts to set production expectations, manage risk buffers, decide when operational plans require revision, and reduce imbalance costs. Persistent deviations between forecast and measured production serve as diagnostic signals for identifying performance degradation or equipment issues at specific sites.
Key Performance Indicators
MAE and RMSE across forecast horizons
Prediction interval calibration at declared coverage rates
API availability and 95th percentile response latency
Imbalance outcome improvements and handling of constrained production periods
Data Provided
Per-site 15-minute AC power forecasts with uncertainty quantification
Site-level and inverter-level outputs where available
Traceability metadata: model version, input data cutoff, issue timestamp
Inputs: AC/DC power, irradiance, temperature, wind speed, soiling loss, solar geometry at 15-min resolution
TEF
TEF RES